THIS CHAPTER PRESENTS MY PERSPECTIVE OF THE LONG-TERM SURVIVAL PROBABILITY THAT PEOPLE WITH PREPARATION OR PRIOR KNOWLEDGE COULD HAVE IN THE PROTAGONIST'S SITUATION.
FACTORS
PROBABILITY (P) >>> LOW - MEDIUM - HIGH
TIME (T) >>> LOW - MEDIUM - HIGH
MONEY (M) >>> LOW - MEDIUM - HIGH
EXTERNAL INTERFERENCE >>> NONE
HUMAN ERRORS >>> NONE
ASSUMPTION
KNOWLEDGE >>> SURVIVAL (MEDIUM) // WEAPONS (MEDIUM) // CRAFTING (MEDIUM) // AGRICULTURE (MEDIUM) // LIVESTOCK (MEDIUM)
SKILLS >>> PERSONAL DEFENSE (MEDIUM) // HANDLING OF BLADED WEAPONS (LOW) // COOKING (LOW) // FIRST AID (HIGH)
RESULTS
1. LOW T & LOW M >>> LOW P = Approx. 5% [SOLO] // LOW P = Approx. 8% [GROUP]
2. LOW T & MID M >>> LOW P = Approx. 14% [SOLO] // LOW P = Approx. 21% [GROUP]
3. LOW T & HIGH M >>> MID P = Approx. 45% [SOLO] // MID P = Approx. 57% [GROUP]
4. MID T & LOW M >>> LOW P = Approx. 28% [SOLO] // MID P = Approx. 39% [GROUP]
5. MID T & MID M >>> MID P = Approx. 59% [SOLO] // HIGH P = Approx. 70% [GROUP]
6. MID T & HIGH M >>> HIGH P = Approx. 74% [ONLY] // LOW P = Approx. 83% [GROUP]
7. HIGH T AND LOW M >>> MEDIUM P = Approx. 48% [ONLY] // MEDIUM P = Approx. 60% [GROUP]
8. HIGH T AND MEDIUM M >>> HIGH P = Approx. 76% [ONLY] // HIGH P = Approx. 85% [GROUP]
9. HIGH T AND HIGH M >>> HIGH P = Approx. 88% [ONLY] // HIGH P = Approx. 99% [GROUP]
ANALYSIS
CASE 2 >>> With a short time (a few days, 3 approx) and medium money, some supplies can be prepared quickly but time would be a limitation to prepare a shelter for one or more people.
CASE 5 >>> With a medium time (a few weeks) and medium money, you can prepare enough supplies for one or more people. Also, it is possible to prepare more than one very well prepared shelter, if you use the money wisely.
CASE 8 >>> With a long time (more than a month) and medium money, you can look for ways to increase the money for better preparation, so that supplies and shelters can be obtained easily. Also, because time is enough, the number of people that can be saved would be much greater.
OBSERVATIONS
I analyzed all the cases taking into account only the factors, along with the knowledge and skills, mentioned above. Therefore, risks due to human errors are avoided, and it shows ideal development by not facing external interventions. However, this does not count fights with zombies, which are included in the percentage of probability of survival.