If there's anything I've learned about 'history' over decades of careful observation and study, it's definitely that everything operates through intricate chains of cause and effect. More specifically, it's about plausibility - the delicate thread that weaves through all historical events.
Plausibility. The measured assessment of certainty and possibility that something can happen, based on the complex interplay of various factors and conditions present at any given moment in time.
Let's take the cause and effect of the Sarajevo incident as a particularly illuminating example of this principle.
In June 1914, Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated in Sarajevo, and for the following month, Europe held its breath, uncertain whether this spark would ignite the powder keg of war. The tension was palpable, yet the outcome remained unclear.
